{
  "revision": 2,
  "method": "100 independent seeded full games per opening, balanced/default calls with opponent bullpen management. Not a held-out calibration or a prediction of real game outcomes.",
  "totals": {
    "games": 5300,
    "pitches": 221621,
    "pa": 63027,
    "battedBalls": 41550,
    "errors": 455,
    "wildPitches": 267,
    "hitByPitches": 1027,
    "strikeouts": 13452
  },
  "scenarios": [
    {
      "scenario": "ws2016-g7-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 7027,
      "pa": 1907,
      "battedBalls": 1175,
      "errors": 11,
      "wildPitches": 8,
      "hitByPitches": 30,
      "strikeouts": 473
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2011-g5-top9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1731,
      "pa": 488,
      "battedBalls": 328,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 5,
      "strikeouts": 114
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2014-g7-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1986,
      "pa": 569,
      "battedBalls": 378,
      "errors": 3,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 12,
      "strikeouts": 104
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2019-g7-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1605,
      "pa": 475,
      "battedBalls": 319,
      "errors": 3,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 13,
      "strikeouts": 95
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1986-g6-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2228,
      "pa": 644,
      "battedBalls": 434,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 7,
      "strikeouts": 135
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1991-g7-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 7164,
      "pa": 1998,
      "battedBalls": 1313,
      "errors": 19,
      "wildPitches": 11,
      "hitByPitches": 22,
      "strikeouts": 407
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2001-g7-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1853,
      "pa": 547,
      "battedBalls": 360,
      "errors": 6,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 9,
      "strikeouts": 120
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1986-g7-top9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1914,
      "pa": 542,
      "battedBalls": 364,
      "errors": 7,
      "wildPitches": 0,
      "hitByPitches": 5,
      "strikeouts": 118
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1991-g6-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6554,
      "pa": 1900,
      "battedBalls": 1271,
      "errors": 25,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 28,
      "strikeouts": 395
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2017-g5-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6070,
      "pa": 1769,
      "battedBalls": 1190,
      "errors": 7,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 27,
      "strikeouts": 382
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-447902-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6067,
      "pa": 1758,
      "battedBalls": 1176,
      "errors": 14,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 29,
      "strikeouts": 369
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-447703-bottom12-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5475,
      "pa": 1588,
      "battedBalls": 1056,
      "errors": 2,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 27,
      "strikeouts": 338
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-566794-bottom12-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5838,
      "pa": 1660,
      "battedBalls": 1072,
      "errors": 10,
      "wildPitches": 6,
      "hitByPitches": 36,
      "strikeouts": 389
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-447667-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6242,
      "pa": 1773,
      "battedBalls": 1179,
      "errors": 10,
      "wildPitches": 6,
      "hitByPitches": 40,
      "strikeouts": 362
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-565636-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5501,
      "pa": 1600,
      "battedBalls": 1054,
      "errors": 10,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 18,
      "strikeouts": 360
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-448041-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2971,
      "pa": 841,
      "battedBalls": 553,
      "errors": 4,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 13,
      "strikeouts": 181
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-565350-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2070,
      "pa": 587,
      "battedBalls": 370,
      "errors": 4,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 16,
      "strikeouts": 129
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-317054-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6764,
      "pa": 1925,
      "battedBalls": 1298,
      "errors": 20,
      "wildPitches": 4,
      "hitByPitches": 20,
      "strikeouts": 379
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-416345-bottom12-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2102,
      "pa": 600,
      "battedBalls": 408,
      "errors": 7,
      "wildPitches": 0,
      "hitByPitches": 5,
      "strikeouts": 118
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-446250-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1939,
      "pa": 538,
      "battedBalls": 350,
      "errors": 1,
      "wildPitches": 0,
      "hitByPitches": 7,
      "strikeouts": 122
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-446273-bottom14-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5502,
      "pa": 1562,
      "battedBalls": 1053,
      "errors": 8,
      "wildPitches": 4,
      "hitByPitches": 24,
      "strikeouts": 345
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-487598-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1920,
      "pa": 556,
      "battedBalls": 356,
      "errors": 3,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 10,
      "strikeouts": 131
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-487602-top9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2444,
      "pa": 697,
      "battedBalls": 463,
      "errors": 1,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 9,
      "strikeouts": 144
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-526498-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6240,
      "pa": 1753,
      "battedBalls": 1139,
      "errors": 7,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 29,
      "strikeouts": 383
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-526478-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6306,
      "pa": 1821,
      "battedBalls": 1199,
      "errors": 15,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 23,
      "strikeouts": 418
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-563396-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1968,
      "pa": 568,
      "battedBalls": 365,
      "errors": 6,
      "wildPitches": 4,
      "hitByPitches": 10,
      "strikeouts": 133
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-599358-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5884,
      "pa": 1678,
      "battedBalls": 1109,
      "errors": 13,
      "wildPitches": 10,
      "hitByPitches": 30,
      "strikeouts": 355
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-286329-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2589,
      "pa": 704,
      "battedBalls": 445,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 12,
      "strikeouts": 137
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-416347-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2080,
      "pa": 581,
      "battedBalls": 381,
      "errors": 3,
      "wildPitches": 3,
      "hitByPitches": 10,
      "strikeouts": 129
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-563347-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1974,
      "pa": 559,
      "battedBalls": 366,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 3,
      "hitByPitches": 6,
      "strikeouts": 135
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-317052-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6173,
      "pa": 1742,
      "battedBalls": 1130,
      "errors": 15,
      "wildPitches": 13,
      "hitByPitches": 33,
      "strikeouts": 341
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-446241-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5440,
      "pa": 1559,
      "battedBalls": 1080,
      "errors": 9,
      "wildPitches": 9,
      "hitByPitches": 25,
      "strikeouts": 284
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-487595-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6007,
      "pa": 1724,
      "battedBalls": 1123,
      "errors": 14,
      "wildPitches": 6,
      "hitByPitches": 25,
      "strikeouts": 386
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-599355-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6209,
      "pa": 1802,
      "battedBalls": 1199,
      "errors": 11,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 37,
      "strikeouts": 419
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-526512-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1959,
      "pa": 550,
      "battedBalls": 352,
      "errors": 2,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 8,
      "strikeouts": 127
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-286330-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2110,
      "pa": 625,
      "battedBalls": 426,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 3,
      "hitByPitches": 4,
      "strikeouts": 141
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-416353-bottom18-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2256,
      "pa": 637,
      "battedBalls": 440,
      "errors": 9,
      "wildPitches": 1,
      "hitByPitches": 6,
      "strikeouts": 137
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-563409-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1929,
      "pa": 555,
      "battedBalls": 374,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 6,
      "strikeouts": 119
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-317058-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6225,
      "pa": 1701,
      "battedBalls": 1113,
      "errors": 10,
      "wildPitches": 10,
      "hitByPitches": 28,
      "strikeouts": 360
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-446277-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6240,
      "pa": 1802,
      "battedBalls": 1195,
      "errors": 14,
      "wildPitches": 7,
      "hitByPitches": 33,
      "strikeouts": 389
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-487599-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5350,
      "pa": 1508,
      "battedBalls": 958,
      "errors": 9,
      "wildPitches": 10,
      "hitByPitches": 27,
      "strikeouts": 329
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-599351-top10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6178,
      "pa": 1759,
      "battedBalls": 1171,
      "errors": 18,
      "wildPitches": 8,
      "hitByPitches": 32,
      "strikeouts": 354
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-526496-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 2212,
      "pa": 626,
      "battedBalls": 407,
      "errors": 4,
      "wildPitches": 5,
      "hitByPitches": 7,
      "strikeouts": 147
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-416349-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5792,
      "pa": 1604,
      "battedBalls": 1025,
      "errors": 15,
      "wildPitches": 4,
      "hitByPitches": 28,
      "strikeouts": 309
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-563383-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5989,
      "pa": 1664,
      "battedBalls": 1054,
      "errors": 11,
      "wildPitches": 11,
      "hitByPitches": 32,
      "strikeouts": 353
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-317072-bottom11-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6999,
      "pa": 1977,
      "battedBalls": 1324,
      "errors": 16,
      "wildPitches": 8,
      "hitByPitches": 13,
      "strikeouts": 446
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-487609-bottom13-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 5184,
      "pa": 1493,
      "battedBalls": 992,
      "errors": 8,
      "wildPitches": 8,
      "hitByPitches": 30,
      "strikeouts": 333
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-599371-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1995,
      "pa": 564,
      "battedBalls": 365,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 0,
      "hitByPitches": 12,
      "strikeouts": 136
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-526505-bottom9-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 4997,
      "pa": 1425,
      "battedBalls": 916,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 9,
      "hitByPitches": 37,
      "strikeouts": 298
    },
    {
      "scenario": "mlb-416373-bottom10-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 6527,
      "pa": 1848,
      "battedBalls": 1243,
      "errors": 16,
      "wildPitches": 8,
      "hitByPitches": 53,
      "strikeouts": 333
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1986-g6-bottom10-ab88-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 621,
      "pa": 174,
      "battedBalls": 114,
      "errors": 1,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 0,
      "strikeouts": 36
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws1991-g7-bottom10-ab78-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 3314,
      "pa": 953,
      "battedBalls": 661,
      "errors": 9,
      "wildPitches": 9,
      "hitByPitches": 14,
      "strikeouts": 172
    },
    {
      "scenario": "ws2014-g7-bottom9-ab68-r2",
      "games": 100,
      "pitches": 1907,
      "pa": 547,
      "battedBalls": 364,
      "errors": 5,
      "wildPitches": 2,
      "hitByPitches": 5,
      "strikeouts": 103
    }
  ],
  "limits": [
    "Errors and wild pitches use conservative one-base advances; passed balls, out-of-play awards and injuries are omitted.",
    "Older missing pitch tracking and discipline use disclosed statistical/repertoire models.",
    "Already-started legacy saves retain their original rules and roster."
  ],
  "rates": {
    "errorsPerBattedBall": 0.01095066185318893,
    "wildPitchesPerPitch": 0.0012047594767643861,
    "hitByPitchesPerPA": 0.01629460389991591,
    "strikeoutsPerPA": 0.213432338521586
  }
}